Wintry Weather or The Tooth Fairy?

If you read the blog regularly, you know that I like to look back at severe storm coverage to see what went right and what went wrong. Wintry weather is no different. Let's look back at what we showed on Wednesday night and compare it to what really happened. First, 7:00 this morning. We had some sleet and spotty areas of freezing rain prior to daybreak, but the bulk of the precipitation was still west of us. 

As you can see in the above image, StormCAST had a pretty good grasp of the setup. Some people commented on my Facebook page early in the morning that we "blew the forecast", but we said that most of the precip would fall during the daytime hours on Thursday. Sometimes, I think people want wintry weather to be like the Tooth Fairy... It HAS to come while you are sleeping. It does not always happen that way.

So, this is what we showed on Wednesday night for the middle of the day on Thursday ...

This is what was actually happening... Not too shabby.

Looking at the forecast and then looking at reality, I think the forecast was going pretty well. Here's where it started to go a little astray. We had a hard time warming above freezing in the afternoon! In fact, the freezing rain continued in Jonesboro and Paragould until 2:00 or so. That's the one thing that became frustrating, but once again... here's what we showed Wednesday night for Thursday afternoon:

This is what what actually happened...

So, looking back... The forecast was not that far off. The rain was a little heavy and the >32 temps were about 3 hours off. I can live with that.

Have a great night!
Ryan